The World Market for Payments and Lending

December 2024

Financial cards are strengthening their position globally as the most popular way for consumers to pay. Paper payments have been consistently declining, due to changing consumer preferences and government efforts to increase the security and transparency of payments. Fintech is adding value throughout the payment process and increasing access to financial products and services. Credit cards are forecast to outpace debit products on a global level in terms of growth rate.

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Key Findings

Card payment value predicted a 4.3% real terms CAGR over 2024-2029

Card payment value is expected to see consistent growth over the forecast period, driven by increased access to financial products and services, and more consumers becoming fully banked rather than financially underserved. Total card payment value is projected to increase by USD11.1 trillion by 2029.

The outstanding balance of consumer credit rose to USD17.9 trillion in 2024

The outstanding balance of consumer credit grew by a CAGR of 4.3% between 2019 and 2024, reaching a new high of USD17.9 trillion globally. Financial card lending represented the largest single lending category, followed by auto lending and educational lending.

China UnionPay is the leading network, but continues to lose share

Declining overall payment value within China has resulted in the world’s largest card network operator, China UnionPay, losing share of the global total, while continued growth for Visa, Mastercard, Discover and American Express has seen their global shares increase.

Credit card growth expected to outpace all other card functions

Debit remains the leading card function by payment value, but credit cards are forecast to grow at a faster rate. This reflects growing consumer confidence in the economic future, but could also lead to growth in non-performing loans in the event of an economic downturn.

Commercial payments presents largest paper payment opportunity

Commercial paper payments is the largest opportunity for payment players looking to convert to card or electronic alternatives. Card issuers are increasingly targeting SMBs with tailored rewards and loyalty programmes to accelerate the shift.

 

Our expert’s view of payments and lending in 2024
Payments and lending snapshot
Key findings
Global financial card payment value growth
Top five trends in payments and lending
Top five trends uncovered
Drivers of consumer markets and impact on payments and lending
Adjacent industries and how they impact payments and lending
Financial card growth and forecast
Global growth in 2024
Card function by region
State of commercial payments
State of personal payments
Consumers’ expectations to spend
Top operator networks in payments and lending
Top issuers in payments and lending
Absolute growth in card network payment value
Absolute growth of issuer payment value
Card network company fragmentation
Card issuer company fragmentation
Top 10 markets by absolute growth
Regional growth in card payment value by type
SWOT for payments and lending
Opportunities for growth
Our expert’s view of payments and lending to 2029
Definitions

Payments and Lending

This is the aggregation of Financial Cards and Payments, Mobile Payments, Transactions, and Consumer Lending.

See all of our definitions
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