As consumers grow more cautious, understanding shifts in global income and expenditure is essential for future-focused strategic planning. Businesses must adapt to evolving purchasing power and spending patterns to uncover actionable growth opportunities. With robust income gains anticipated across emerging markets, particularly in Asia, proactive strategies will be crucial.
This report comes in PPT.
Consumer real gross income growth slowed to 2.9% in 2024, with total expenditure reaching USD60 trillion. Asia Pacific led, with 3.8% real spending growth, fuelled by rising incomes and expansion of the middle class. Emerging and developing Asia is projected to drive global disposable income growth at a 4.2% CAGR over the period to 2040, with India and China contributing significantly. However, per capita income in the region will remain modest.
While overall income rose in 2024, inequality widened too. Social Class E grew by 1.3%, adding 25 million people and is expected to surpass 2 billion in 2025, driven by economic turbulence and high living costs. In the forecast period, growth of the middle class is forecast to slow, with Eastern Europe seeing a sharp contraction.
Global wealth grew by 5.9% in 2024, fuelled by robust returns in real estate and stock markets. The US led, accounting for 49% of the global wealthy population and 55% of total wealth. Despite slower growth in the number of affluent consumers globally in 2024, their average wealth increased, indicating they became even wealthier.
Between 2024 and 2040, global consumer spending on food and non-alcoholic beverages will rise in real terms, with consumers raising their budget allocations on essentials, such as fish and dairy, as well as health-focused products. Education will be the fastest growing category, driven by growing demand for upskilling and reskilling.
Even amid uncertainty and economic turmoil, growth opportunities exist in emerging geographies and overlooked segments. Southeast Asia, with its rising middle class and resilient labour markets, offers significant potential. The ageing population and growing number of low-income earners, often under-targeted, present strong future growth opportunities, too.
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