Global Overview of Income and Expenditure

May 2025

As consumers grow more cautious, understanding shifts in global income and expenditure is essential for future-focused strategic planning. Businesses must adapt to evolving purchasing power and spending patterns to uncover actionable growth opportunities. With robust income gains anticipated across emerging markets, particularly in Asia, proactive strategies will be crucial.

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Key Findings

Global income growth slows due to the rising geopolitical uncertainty

Consumer real gross income growth slowed to 2.9% in 2024, with total expenditure reaching USD60 trillion. Asia Pacific led, with 3.8% real spending growth, fuelled by rising incomes and expansion of the middle class. Emerging and developing Asia is projected to drive global disposable income growth at a 4.2% CAGR over the period to 2040, with India and China contributing significantly. However, per capita income in the region will remain modest.

Turbulence hits lower income earners harder

While overall income rose in 2024, inequality widened too. Social Class E grew by 1.3%, adding 25 million people and is expected to surpass 2 billion in 2025, driven by economic turbulence and high living costs. In the forecast period, growth of the middle class is forecast to slow, with Eastern Europe seeing a sharp contraction.

The number of affluent consumers grows, but their wealth grows faster

Global wealth grew by 5.9% in 2024, fuelled by robust returns in real estate and stock markets. The US led, accounting for 49% of the global wealthy population and 55% of total wealth. Despite slower growth in the number of affluent consumers globally in 2024, their average wealth increased, indicating they became even wealthier.

Food, health and education retain their importance

Between 2024 and 2040, global consumer spending on food and non-alcoholic beverages will rise in real terms, with consumers raising their budget allocations on essentials, such as fish and dairy, as well as health-focused products. Education will be the fastest growing category, driven by growing demand for upskilling and reskilling.

Untapped consumer segments present growth opportunities

Even amid uncertainty and economic turmoil, growth opportunities exist in emerging geographies and overlooked segments. Southeast Asia, with its rising middle class and resilient labour markets, offers significant potential. The ageing population and growing number of low-income earners, often under-targeted, present strong future growth opportunities, too.

 

Our expert’s view of income and expenditure in 2025
Key findings
Uncertainty is affecting consumer income and expenditure
Top five trends in income and expenditure
Top five trends uncovered
Drivers of consumer markets and impact on Income and Expenditure
Global income and expenditure in 2024: Summary
Geopolitical uncertainty stalls income growth and increases inequality
Lower-income earners face a greater impact from turbulence
Global wealth market grows, led by the US
Asia Pacific drives global consumer spending growth
Amidst turmoil and uncertainty, consumers prioritise health and wellness
Essential spending grows steadily, led by a strive towards strategic consumption
Relatively stable global income growth through to 2040
Mature consumers are getting more affluent and populous
Global middle-class consumption gravitates from conspicuous to values-based
Geopolitical factors today impact social class dynamics of tomorrow
Consumers will spend significantly more on food and drinks in 2040
All eyes on spending in Asia Pacific
A closer look at the future consumer in China
Leveraging consumer income and expenditure shifts for future growth
Opportunities for growth
Our expert’s view of income and expenditure to 2040
Consumer expenditure by region and country
Consumer expenditure by urban/rural split
Consumer expenditure by category
Consumer expenditure in selected categories
Population by income band
Gross income by age
Income by gender
Social classes
Wealth and high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs)
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